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2009-02-25

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Hawks Denver Nuggets Spread Result
Margin 26.9% 73.1% +5.5 (4.5 off)
Pythagorean 43.1% 56.9% -

Actual: Denver Nuggets +1 (110-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Joe Johnson * 44 9-18 2-5 6-6 4 8 1 0 3 26 18 -
Flip Murray * 39 6-12 1-4 2-2 2 4 1 0 4 15 6 -
Al Horford * 39 10-17 0-0 1-2 11 2 3 1 3 21 18 -
Marvin Williams * 38 10-17 1-3 10-10 7 0 2 0 1 31 22 -
Maurice Evans * 31 2-7 1-5 0-0 3 0 2 1 0 5 4 -
Zaza Pachulia * 23 3-3 0-0 3-4 3 3 0 1 3 9 10 -
Acie Law * 8 0-4 0-0 2-2 0 2 1 0 0 2 1 -
Solomon Jones * 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Mario West 6 0-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 1 0 0 4 -

Denver Nuggets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Carmelo Anthony * 45 10-16 3-4 0-2 10 5 3 0 1 23 24 -
Chauncey Billups * 38 7-18 2-6 17-19 3 7 2 0 4 33 23 -
Kenyon Martin * 36 5-10 0-0 0-0 7 4 1 0 1 10 11 -
JR Smith * 25 4-8 2-4 4-6 3 2 0 0 0 14 11 -
Chris Andersen * 21 3-7 0-0 1-3 12 0 0 5 3 7 14 -
Linas Kleiza * 20 2-3 1-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 4 5 1 -
Dahntay Jones * 19 4-6 2-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 10 5 -
Johan Petro * 17 4-6 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 8 6 -
Anthony Carter * 14 0-3 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 4 0 -5 -

* = starter