Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.2% | 72.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.8% | 67.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.7% | 71.3% | +5.0 | ✓ (2.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks +7 (85-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Hamilton * | 42 | 7-16 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 0 | - |
| Rasheed Wallace * | 41 | 9-18 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 13 | - |
| Allen Iverson * | 40 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Rodney Stuckey * | 36 | 9-12 | 1-1 | 1-3 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 21 | - |
| Tayshaun Prince * | 34 | 1-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Antonio McDyess * | 24 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Amir Johnson * | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Will Bynum * | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Arron Afflalo * | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Smith * | 43 | 3-13 | 0-2 | 5-8 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Joe Johnson * | 43 | 8-22 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 5 | - |
| Al Horford * | 42 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 18 | - |
| Mike Bibby * | 38 | 10-13 | 6-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 24 | - |
| Marvin Williams * | 35 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Maurice Evans * | 17 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Flip Murray * | 14 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Zaza Pachulia | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
* = starter