San Diego State Aztecs
2009 Team Stats (2 games)
58.0
PPG
60.5
Opp
-2.5
Margin
37.5%
FG%
26.5%
3P%
80.6%
FT%
33.0
RPG
10.0
APG
10.5
TO
-
Est. poss./game
67.6
Adj PPG
56.7
Adj Opp PPG
#39
Scoring Rank
Model Outputs
2008-2009
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1246 (#54) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1213 (#44) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1104 (#39) | HCA +107 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +11.8 (#40) | HCA +3.0 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +10.1 (#53) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.784 (#36) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.905 (#34) | AdjNet +19.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.907 (#35) | AdjNet +19.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.731 (#39) | AdjO 67.6 | AdjD 56.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.645 (#53) | AdjO 64.9 | AdjD 58.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.793 (#32) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.780 (#31) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1233 (#36) | RD 86 | GP 35 |
2009 Schedule & Results
2009 Roster
No roster data available for this season.