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2008-11-15

Model Predictions

Model UC San Diego Tritons San Diego State Aztecs Spread Result
Elo 10.2% 89.8% -
Bradley-Terry 20.2% 79.8% -
Margin 10.4% 89.6% +11.9 (7.1 off)

Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +19 (59-40). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UC San Diego Tritons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Lawley 31 1-11 0-3 0-0 1 1 0 1 1 2 -7 -
K. Kim 31 4-10 3-6 0-0 0 2 2 0 1 11 4 -
D. Lawlor 25 2-5 0-2 0-0 10 3 0 0 3 4 9 -
A. Husted 23 0-6 0-3 0-0 2 2 1 0 1 0 -2 -
A.J. Maulhardt 11 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 2 2 -

San Diego State Aztecs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D.J. Gay 29 4-9 2-3 0-2 4 1 0 0 2 10 4 -
R. Williams 29 1-5 0-1 2-2 5 3 1 0 1 4 7 -
B. White 28 6-10 0-0 3-3 8 1 1 0 3 15 12 -
K. Spain 28 3-9 2-4 6-6 5 0 0 0 0 14 10 -
T. Shelton 26 3-6 0-0 1-5 5 1 1 0 1 7 7 -
M. Cheriet 22 0-3 0-2 4-6 5 1 0 1 1 4 7 -
M. Thomas 15 0-1 0-1 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
K. Davis 12 1-6 0-2 0-1 2 0 2 0 0 2 0 -
T. Island 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Horton 4 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 -
B. Smith 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter