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2008-11-22

Model Predictions

Model Fresno State Bulldogs San Diego State Aztecs Spread Result
Elo 6.1% 93.9% -
Bradley-Terry 26.5% 73.5% -
Margin 18.6% 81.4% +8.1 (15.9 off)

Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +24 (80-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Fresno State Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. George 32 1-7 0-2 0-0 7 2 1 0 3 2 2 -
S. Seay 30 5-14 2-6 1-3 2 1 0 4 1 13 5 -
D. O'Neil 29 4-9 3-4 1-2 8 3 1 0 6 12 9 -
M. Ladd 25 3-12 0-3 2-2 2 2 2 0 1 8 1 -
N. Golubovic 23 3-6 0-2 1-2 2 2 0 0 0 7 5 -
B. Webster 15 2-3 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 0 5 5 -
B. Cartwright 14 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
B. Seals 12 3-5 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 6 3 -
J. Ambers 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 0 4 -
B. Sperling 6 0-1 0-0 1-2 0 0 1 0 1 1 0 -
M. Green 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

San Diego State Aztecs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Spain 29 6-12 2-6 8-8 11 3 0 0 0 22 24 -
D.J. Gay 24 1-4 1-3 0-0 2 5 1 0 2 3 5 -
R. Amoroso 23 4-8 1-1 2-2 3 1 0 0 1 11 6 -
T. Shelton 22 4-7 0-1 0-0 4 1 1 0 1 8 6 -
R. Williams 20 3-4 0-1 1-3 4 2 1 0 1 7 9 -
M. Cheriet 20 3-9 1-3 2-2 3 1 0 1 1 9 4 -
B. White 19 3-8 0-0 0-2 2 0 3 2 3 6 2 -
K. Davis 17 4-6 1-2 0-2 5 0 2 0 0 9 10 -
M. Thomas 16 2-4 0-1 1-2 2 0 1 0 1 5 3 -
B. Smith 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Horton 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 -
T. Island 3 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter