Model Predictions
| Model | Arizona State Sun Devils | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.2% | 57.8% | +1.7 | ✗ (8.7 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 57.2% | 42.8% | -1.6 | ✓ (5.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 70.4% | 29.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 70.8% | 29.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs -7 (52-59). Ratings: 2008-09 season-end ratings.
Arizona State Sun Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Abbott | 39 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 17 | - |
| J. Ayres | 36 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| R. Kuksiks | 34 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| J. Harden | 32 | 7-11 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 11 | - |
| D. Glasser | 30 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 14 | - |
| J. McMillan | 9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | - |
| T. Rohde | 8 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| J. Shipp | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| E. Boateng | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Williams | 36 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 9 | - |
| D.J. Gay | 36 | 2-10 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -1 | - |
| B. White | 31 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| K. Spain | 28 | 4-12 | 4-8 | 5-6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 4 | - |
| R. Amoroso | 26 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| T. Shelton | 19 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| M. Thomas | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Cheriet | 10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter