Model Predictions
| Model | Arizona State Sun Devils | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.4% | 82.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 49.3% | 50.7% | +0.2 | ✗ (7.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 90.9% | 9.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 71.7% | 28.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 71.9% | 28.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs -7 (52-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arizona State Sun Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Abbott | 39 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 17 | - |
| J. Ayres | 36 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| R. Kuksiks | 34 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| J. Harden | 32 | 7-11 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 11 | - |
| D. Glasser | 30 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 14 | - |
| J. McMillan | 9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | - |
| T. Rohde | 8 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| J. Shipp | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| E. Boateng | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Williams | 36 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 9 | - |
| D.J. Gay | 36 | 2-10 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -1 | - |
| B. White | 31 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| K. Spain | 28 | 4-12 | 4-8 | 5-6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 4 | - |
| R. Amoroso | 26 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| T. Shelton | 19 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| M. Thomas | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Cheriet | 10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter