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2009-01-28

Model Predictions

Model TCU Horned Frogs San Diego State Aztecs Spread Result
Elo 10.4% 89.6% -
Bradley-Terry 44.9% 55.1% -
Margin 38.1% 61.9% +2.7 (14.3 off)
Pythagorean 34.8% 65.2% -
Efficiency 42.8% 57.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 6.8% 93.2% -
Log Adjusted 6.7% 93.3% -

Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +17 (67-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.

TCU Horned Frogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Ebie 39 2-10 1-3 1-2 4 2 0 0 3 6 -1 -
K. Langford 36 2-7 0-0 4-7 7 1 1 3 2 8 11 -
Z. Buljan 31 4-9 0-3 6-6 5 0 2 1 2 14 11 -
E. Ruzgas 30 3-8 2-5 2-2 2 1 0 0 0 10 5 -
K. Mitchem 29 0-5 0-4 2-2 6 2 0 1 3 2 3 -
R. Moss 22 4-9 1-1 1-4 2 3 1 0 3 10 4 -
K. Butler 11 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 -
J. Ortiz 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

San Diego State Aztecs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Wade 33 8-16 1-3 1-3 5 5 1 1 1 18 13 -
R. Williams 32 5-11 3-5 0-0 9 6 2 1 3 13 17 -
K. Spain 25 1-6 0-2 2-2 3 1 1 2 4 4 1 -
R. Amoroso 22 6-8 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 0 4 12 7 -
T. Shelton 21 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 0 0 4 6 -
M. Cheriet 21 3-7 0-3 0-0 0 0 2 0 0 6 1 -
D.J. Gay 16 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
B. White 12 4-5 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 3 1 8 10 -
M. Thomas 9 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 2 0 0 2 3 -
B. Smith 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Horton 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
J. Deutchman 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Island 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter