Model Predictions
| Model | Saint Mary's Gaels | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.1% | 53.9% | +0.6 | ✓ (3.4 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.8% | 68.2% | +4.2 | ✓ (0.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 31.2% | 68.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 31.3% | 68.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +4 (70-66). Ratings: 2008-09 season-end ratings.
Saint Mary's Gaels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patty Mills * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 20 | - |
| Diamon Simpson * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 26 | - |
| Wayne Hunter * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 17 | - |
| Omar Samhan * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 29 | - |
| Mickey McConnell * | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Carlin Hughes | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Ian O'Leary | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Yusef Smith | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lorrenzo Wade * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Ryan Amoroso * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 18 | - |
| Richie Williams * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 17 | - |
| Kyle Spain * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 19 | - |
| Tim Shelton * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 15 | - |
| Billy White | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 21 | - |
| D.J. Gay | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Matt Thomas | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Mehdi Cheriet | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
* = starter