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2009-03-25

Model Predictions

Model Saint Mary's Gaels San Diego State Aztecs Spread Result
Elo 34.1% 65.9% -
Bradley-Terry 50.2% 49.8% -
Margin 46.7% 53.3% +0.7 (3.3 off)
Efficiency 13.0% 87.0% -

Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +4 (70-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Saint Mary's Gaels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Mills * 40 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 5 1 0 5 18 20 -
D. Simpson * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 14 0 2 0 1 11 26 -
W. Hunter * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 2 1 1 9 17 -
O. Samhan * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 12 2 1 5 1 10 29 -
M. McConnell * 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
C. Hughes 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 11 13 -
I. O'Leary 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 5 8 -
Y. Smith 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 2 4 -

San Diego State Aztecs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Wade * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 2 0 3 10 14 -
R. Amoroso * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 0 1 3 12 18 -
R. Williams * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 5 2 0 2 8 17 -
K. Spain * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 1 0 1 11 19 -
T. Shelton * 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 1 1 0 5 15 -
B. White 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 17 21 -
D.J. Gay 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 1 0 0 5 -
M. Thomas 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
M. Cheriet 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 7 8 -

* = starter