Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | Northern Colorado Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 82.2% | 17.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 80.9% | 19.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 88.0% | 12.0% | -11.0 | ✓ (0.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.3% | 40.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 94.3% | 5.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 94.4% | 5.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 71.5% | 28.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northern Colorado Bears -11 (62-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.J. Gay | 33 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| R. Williams | 32 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| K. Spain | 29 | 5-12 | 2-5 | 7-8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 12 | - |
| T. Shelton | 26 | 6-6 | 2-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 13 | - |
| R. Amoroso | 21 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
| B. White | 20 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| M. Thomas | 18 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| M. Cheriet | 13 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| K. Davis | 8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
Northern Colorado Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Pena | 32 | 5-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 10 | - |
| W. Figures | 31 | 3-10 | 1-2 | 3-5 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 10 | 5 | - |
| T. Montgomery | 27 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | - |
| J. Mason | 27 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 1-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| J. Banks | 21 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| M. Proctor | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | - |
| N. Kingman | 14 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| C. Kaba | 14 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| D. Beitzel | 11 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Y. Bonner | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter