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2008-12-29

Model Predictions

Model Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions San Diego State Aztecs Spread Result
Elo 0.9% 99.1% -
Bradley-Terry 3.7% 96.3% -
Margin 0.9% 99.1% +25.8 (6.2 off)
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +32 (93-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Calvin 40 3-8 0-0 0-0 4 4 2 0 5 6 3 -
G. Montgomery 24 3-6 1-3 1-1 1 1 1 0 5 8 0 -
R. Parks 22 5-11 2-6 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 12 5 -
T. Washington 22 1-4 0-0 2-2 1 3 2 1 4 4 3 -
S. Townsend 18 2-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 4 4 -
G. Davis 17 2-2 0-0 3-4 6 0 0 1 1 7 11 -
E. Brooks 15 1-4 1-1 0-0 2 2 1 0 0 3 4 -
N. Livisay 6 3-3 0-0 0-1 0 0 0 0 0 6 3 -
T. Kennedy 5 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
K. Jones 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Ootesey 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 -
H. Barnett 3 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 -

San Diego State Aztecs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Shelton 23 3-8 0-0 3-3 6 0 0 0 0 9 7 -
K. Spain 23 4-9 2-5 5-6 6 1 2 0 2 15 13 -
D.J. Gay 23 4-5 3-4 1-1 0 0 3 0 2 12 8 -
R. Williams 23 1-3 0-1 0-0 4 6 2 0 2 2 9 -
L. Wade 21 3-8 0-0 6-8 7 2 2 3 2 12 16 -
R. Amoroso 19 6-9 1-1 0-2 4 0 1 1 0 13 10 -
B. White 17 2-3 0-0 2-3 1 1 0 0 2 6 3 -
M. Cheriet 16 4-5 2-2 4-4 3 1 0 0 0 14 13 -
M. Thomas 14 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 1 2 0 1 2 4 -
B. Smith 6 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
B. Horton 6 0-2 0-1 1-2 0 0 0 0 1 1 -2 -
T. Island 5 1-3 0-1 2-2 3 0 1 0 0 4 5 -
J. Deutchman 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter