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San Diego State Aztecs 68
@
UNLV Rebels 66
2009-02-03

Model Predictions

Model San Diego State Aztecs UNLV Rebels Spread Result
Elo 87.3% 12.7% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 47.4% 52.6% - ✗
Margin 42.9% 57.1% +1.6 ✗ (3.6 off)
Pythagorean 47.5% 52.5% - ✗
Efficiency 27.3% 72.7% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 59.8% 40.2% - ✓
Log Adjusted 60.0% 40.0% - ✓

Actual: UNLV Rebels -2 (66-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San Diego State Aztecs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Wade 40 3-16 0-7 6-8 4 1 0 1 5 12 -3 -
D.J. Gay 35 2-4 1-2 5-6 2 2 0 0 2 10 8 -
B. White 35 4-6 0-0 4-6 7 2 1 1 1 12 16 -
K. Spain 33 5-10 3-6 4-4 5 4 5 0 2 17 19 -
M. Cheriet 30 2-5 0-2 0-0 3 1 1 1 2 4 3 -
R. Williams 26 3-3 1-1 2-4 5 2 1 0 3 9 11 -
R. Amoroso 13 1-4 0-2 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
M. Thomas 13 1-1 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 2 4 -

UNLV Rebels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Adams 39 4-15 2-5 6-8 4 2 1 0 4 16 4 -
R. Rougeau 38 4-7 0-1 3-5 7 0 2 2 5 11 10 -
T. Willis 36 1-8 1-2 5-8 6 2 0 0 1 8 7 -
J. Darger 35 3-6 3-6 0-0 5 0 0 1 0 9 9 -
O. Bellfield 28 3-8 0-1 5-6 3 6 0 0 2 11 10 -
D. Santee 16 2-4 0-0 0-1 2 0 1 0 2 4 1 -
K. Wallace 14 1-4 0-2 0-1 0 1 2 1 0 2 2 -
M. Rutledge 13 1-3 1-3 2-2 3 0 2 0 0 5 7 -
B. Massamba 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Mitchell 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter