Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | BYU Cougars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.9% | 64.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.9% | 80.1% | +7.6 | ✓ (1.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: BYU Cougars +6 (77-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Williams | 34 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 15 | - |
| L. Wade | 34 | 7-18 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 2 | - |
| D.J. Gay | 29 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| T. Shelton | 23 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 3 | - |
| B. White | 22 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| M. Cheriet | 19 | 6-8 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 8 | - |
| R. Amoroso | 16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| K. Spain | 16 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| M. Thomas | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
BYU Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Cummard | 38 | 6-11 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 18 | - |
| J. Tavernari | 36 | 5-10 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 14 | - |
| L. Morgan Jr. | 28 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 9 | - |
| J. Emery | 27 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| J. Fredette | 27 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 9 | - |
| C. Miles | 24 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| G. MacGregor | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Anderson | 7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| N. Hartsock | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| C. Abouo | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter