Model Predictions
| Model | UNLV Rebels | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.8% | 93.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.8% | 70.2% | +4.7 | ✓ (9.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 66.7% | 33.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +14 (71-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Willis | 40 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 6-8 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 16 | - |
| W. Adams | 36 | 10-20 | 2-7 | 4-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 6 | - |
| O. Bellfield | 34 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -2 | - |
| J. Darger | 28 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| R. Rougeau | 28 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 11 | - |
| M. Rutledge | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| K. Wallace | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| B. Massamba | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Wade | 37 | 7-13 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 23 | - |
| K. Spain | 29 | 3-10 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 9 | - |
| R. Williams | 28 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| B. White | 27 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| D.J. Gay | 22 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| T. Shelton | 21 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| R. Amoroso | 19 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| M. Thomas | 17 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
* = starter