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2009-03-31

Model Predictions

Model Baylor Bears San Diego State Aztecs Spread Result
Elo 36.8% 63.2% -
Bradley-Terry 75.8% 24.2% -
Margin 83.7% 16.3% -9.0 (5.0 off)
Pythagorean 34.6% 65.4% -
Efficiency 72.1% 27.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 26.4% 73.6% -
Log Adjusted 26.3% 73.7% -

Actual: San Diego State Aztecs -14 (62-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Baylor Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Rogers * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 1 1 0 1 14 22 -
L. Dunn * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 3 1 0 5 23 29 -
C. Jerrells * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 7 3 0 1 25 36 -
T. Carter * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 2 0 2 8 13 -
J. Lomers * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 1 2 6 10 -
H. Dugat 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 -
M. Diene 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
A. Jones 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Q. Acy 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 1 0 0 2 -
F. Ellis 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

San Diego State Aztecs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Williams * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 5 3 0 1 0 11 -
L. Wade * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 2 0 4 8 12 -
B. White * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 2 0 1 10 14 -
K. Spain * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 4 2 0 4 17 22 -
R. Amoroso * 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 1 1 9 16 -
D.J. Gay 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 2 0 0 6 12 -
T. Shelton 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 0 1 10 17 -
M. Cheriet 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 2 1 -
M. Thomas 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter