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2009-03-31

Model Predictions

Model Baylor Bears San Diego State Aztecs Spread Result
Elo 45.8% 54.2% +0.7 โœ— (14.7 off)
Bradley-Terry 43.2% 56.8% - โœ—
Margin 40.7% 59.3% +2.1 โœ— (16.1 off)
Pythagorean 43.2% 56.8% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 45.5% 54.5% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 45.9% 54.1% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 45.2% 54.8% - โœ—

Actual: San Diego State Aztecs -14 (62-76). Ratings: 2008-09 season-end ratings.

Baylor Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Rogers * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 1 1 0 1 14 22 -
L. Dunn * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 3 1 0 5 23 29 -
Curtis Jerrells * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 7 3 0 1 25 36 -
T. Carter * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 2 0 2 8 13 -
J. Lomers * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 1 2 6 10 -
H. Dugat 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 -
M. Diene 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
Anthony Jones 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Quincy Acy 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 1 0 0 2 -
F. Ellis 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

San Diego State Aztecs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Richie Williams * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 5 3 0 1 0 11 -
L. Wade * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 2 0 4 8 12 -
B. White * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 2 0 1 10 14 -
K. Spain * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 4 2 0 4 17 22 -
R. Amoroso * 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 1 1 9 16 -
D.J. Gay 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 2 0 0 6 12 -
T. Shelton 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 0 1 10 17 -
M. Cheriet 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 2 1 -
Matt Thomas 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter