Model Predictions
| Model | Colorado State Rams | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.3% | 88.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.3% | 64.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.7% | 73.3% | +5.6 | ✓ (3.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 19.5% | 80.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +9 (68-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Walker | 37 | 8-22 | 3-9 | 5-5 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 10 | - |
| W. Gardner | 36 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 3 | - |
| H. Perry | 28 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| A. McFarland | 25 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| T. Franklin | 24 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 10 | - |
| A. Ogide | 23 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| M. Bocar Ba | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - |
| A. Dunn | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Nigon | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Wade | 35 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 12 | - |
| K. Spain | 32 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 6-6 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 13 | - |
| T. Shelton | 30 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 9 | - |
| R. Williams | 24 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 2-5 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| R. Amoroso | 24 | 6-11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 7 | - |
| M. Thomas | 21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| D.J. Gay | 19 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Cheriet | 15 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
* = starter