Model Predictions
| Model | Colorado State Rams | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.7% | 93.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 10.5% | 89.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.5% | 94.5% | +15.6 | ✓ (6.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 25.2% | 74.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 2.4% | 97.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 2.3% | 97.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 20.1% | 79.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +9 (68-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Walker | 37 | 8-22 | 3-9 | 5-5 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 10 | - |
| W. Gardner | 36 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 3 | - |
| H. Perry | 28 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| A. McFarland | 25 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| T. Franklin | 24 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 10 | - |
| A. Ogide | 23 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| M. Bocar Ba | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - |
| A. Dunn | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Nigon | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Wade | 35 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 12 | - |
| K. Spain | 32 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 6-6 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 13 | - |
| T. Shelton | 30 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 9 | - |
| R. Williams | 24 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 2-5 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| R. Amoroso | 24 | 6-11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 7 | - |
| M. Thomas | 21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| D.J. Gay | 19 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Cheriet | 15 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
* = starter