Model Predictions
| Model | Saint Mary's Gaels | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.1% | 65.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 46.7% | 53.3% | +0.7 | ✗ (3.7 off) |
| Efficiency | 13.0% | 87.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs -3 (64-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Saint Mary's Gaels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Mills | 40 | 6-19 | 1-9 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 0 | - |
| D. Simpson | 37 | 7-11 | 1-2 | 5-8 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 30 | - |
| O. Samhan | 27 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 10 | - |
| C. Hughes | 23 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 2 | - |
| W. Hunter | 20 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| I. O'Leary | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| M. McConnell | 18 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| B. Allen | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Y. Smith | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Williams | 32 | 4-11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 3 | - |
| R. Amoroso | 29 | 1-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| K. Spain | 29 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 10 | - |
| D.J. Gay | 24 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| T. Shelton | 22 | 7-11 | 1-2 | 2-6 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 16 | - |
| L. Wade | 19 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| B. White | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| M. Thomas | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Cheriet | 13 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| K. Davis | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter