Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | New Mexico Lobos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.4% | 65.6% | +4.1 | ✓ (21.9 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 38.2% | 61.8% | +2.7 | ✓ (23.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 54.9% | 45.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.8% | 45.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Mexico Lobos +26 (75-49). Ratings: 2008-09 season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richie Williams * | 32 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| D.J. Gay * | 31 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Tim Shelton * | 22 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Lorrenzo Wade * | 19 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | -1 | - |
| Billy White * | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ryan Amoroso | 28 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Kyle Spain | 28 | 6-13 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Mehdi Cheriet | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Matt Thomas | 19 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Bryan Horton | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roman Martinez * | 34 | 6-9 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Daniel Faris * | 31 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | - |
| Tony Danridge * | 30 | 8-12 | 1-1 | 8-9 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 19 | - |
| Phillip McDonald * | 23 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Dairese Gary * | 23 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Chad Toppert | 17 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Nate Garth | 17 | 0-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Jonathan Wills | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A.J. Hardeman | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Will Brown | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter