Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | New Mexico Lobos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.6% | 46.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.3% | 60.7% | +2.4 | ✓ (23.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.3% | 41.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.5% | 41.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: New Mexico Lobos +26 (75-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Williams | 32 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| D.J. Gay | 31 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| K. Spain | 28 | 6-13 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 11 | - |
| R. Amoroso | 28 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| T. Shelton | 22 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| M. Cheriet | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| M. Thomas | 19 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| L. Wade | 19 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | -1 | - |
| B. White | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Horton | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Martinez | 34 | 6-9 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 14 | - |
| D. Faris | 31 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | - |
| T. Danridge | 30 | 8-12 | 1-1 | 8-9 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 19 | - |
| P. McDonald | 23 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 14 | - |
| D. Gary | 23 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| C. Toppert | 17 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| N. Garth | 17 | 0-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | - |
| J. Wills | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A.J. Hardeman | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| W. Brown | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter