Model Predictions
| Model | Air Force Falcons | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.0% | 93.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 7.7% | 92.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.2% | 95.8% | +17.2 | ✓ (13.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 23.4% | 76.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 18.2% | 81.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +31 (65-34). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Johnson | 29 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| M. Holland | 29 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| S. Schafer | 26 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | - |
| E. Washington | 25 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| A. Henke | 24 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4 | -5 | - |
| T. Stewart | 15 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| S. Hempsey | 14 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| B. Provost | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| G. Parker | 8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| T. Noonan | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| M. McLain | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Fow | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Atkins | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.J. Gay | 32 | 2-7 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| K. Spain | 27 | 4-11 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 6 | - |
| R. Williams | 27 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 16 | - |
| B. White | 26 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 19 | - |
| M. Cheriet | 24 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| M. Thomas | 23 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | - |
| R. Amoroso | 21 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | - |
| B. Horton | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| T. Island | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| B. Smith | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Deutchman | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter