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San Diego State Aztecs 79
@
TCU Horned Frogs 77
2009-02-28

Model Predictions

Model San Diego State Aztecs TCU Horned Frogs Spread Result
Elo 81.2% 18.8% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 40.8% 59.2% - ✗
Margin 34.1% 65.9% +3.6 ✗ (5.6 off)
Pythagorean 59.2% 40.8% - ✓
Efficiency 51.2% 48.8% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 87.2% 12.8% - ✓
Log Adjusted 87.3% 12.7% - ✓

Actual: TCU Horned Frogs -2 (77-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San Diego State Aztecs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Williams 42 6-10 1-1 1-3 11 4 0 0 3 14 16 -
K. Spain 39 3-9 2-2 10-10 3 3 2 1 2 18 16 -
L. Wade 37 4-9 1-2 3-4 7 5 0 3 5 12 13 -
D.J. Gay 35 3-7 2-6 5-5 0 1 1 0 1 13 7 -
T. Shelton 28 3-8 0-1 1-2 9 3 1 0 3 7 9 -
M. Cheriet 20 4-5 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 1 8 8 -
R. Amoroso 15 2-4 0-0 3-3 2 0 0 0 3 7 2 -
M. Thomas 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
B. White 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

TCU Horned Frogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Ebie 39 3-6 2-4 1-1 1 5 1 1 1 9 10 -
R. Moss 38 9-20 1-4 3-3 2 2 2 0 1 22 7 -
Z. Buljan 28 5-13 1-4 0-0 11 4 0 0 5 11 8 -
E. Ruzgas 28 4-9 3-6 0-0 3 2 0 1 1 11 7 -
K. Mitchem 24 1-6 1-3 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 3 -1 -
K. Butler 24 0-1 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 0 0 5 -
K. Langford 23 5-7 1-2 7-13 4 1 0 0 1 18 15 -
J. Ortiz 15 1-4 0-1 1-1 5 0 3 0 0 3 7 -
L. Lancon 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter