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2009-02-14

Model Predictions

Model Wyoming Cowboys San Diego State Aztecs Spread Result
Elo 6.1% 93.9% -
Bradley-Terry 28.6% 71.4% -
Margin 17.2% 82.8% +8.6 (2.4 off)
Pythagorean 21.1% 78.9% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 2.9% 97.1% -
Log Adjusted 2.7% 97.3% -

Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +11 (71-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Wyoming Cowboys

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Ewing 34 5-9 3-5 9-9 4 2 0 0 2 22 17 -
S. Ogirri 31 4-6 1-3 0-0 0 1 1 0 4 9 1 -
A. Waddell 30 3-5 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 0 1 6 6 -
T. Johnson 28 2-5 0-0 2-2 2 1 0 0 4 6 0 -
A. Muojeke 26 6-11 0-3 1-2 6 1 0 0 3 13 6 -
R. Dermody 23 1-1 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 1 2 5 -
D. Thiam 16 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 2 -2 -
A.J. Davis 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
M. Linskens 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -
M. Diakite 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

San Diego State Aztecs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Wade 33 5-11 0-2 7-11 5 3 2 0 0 17 16 -
T. Shelton 33 5-8 0-1 1-2 5 2 1 1 0 11 12 -
B. White 29 12-12 0-0 0-0 8 0 2 4 1 24 25 -
R. Williams 28 3-6 2-4 1-2 2 2 1 0 0 9 8 -
D.J. Gay 25 0-7 0-4 0-0 1 4 2 0 0 0 0 -
K. Spain 22 2-9 2-7 2-2 6 2 4 0 5 8 6 -
M. Cheriet 17 1-5 0-3 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 2 -2 -
M. Thomas 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 1 0 1 -
B. Horton 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Deutchman 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Island 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Smith 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter