Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | Colorado State Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 79.7% | 20.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 46.7% | 53.3% | +0.7 | ✗ (19.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 74.5% | 25.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 93.2% | 6.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 93.3% | 6.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Colorado State Rams -19 (59-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Wade | 36 | 10-16 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 14 | - |
| D.J. Gay | 32 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | - |
| K. Spain | 27 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 5-6 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 16 | - |
| M. Thomas | 26 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 | - |
| R. Williams | 26 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 4 | - |
| M. Cheriet | 19 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| B. White | 16 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 4 | - |
| T. Shelton | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| B. Horton | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Gardner | 30 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 5 | - |
| M. Walker | 27 | 5-11 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 5 | - |
| J. Carr | 25 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -5 | - |
| A. Ogide | 23 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 2 | - |
| T. Franklin | 22 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| A. McFarland | 18 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| H. Perry | 16 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| D. Vandervieren | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| A. Dunn | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Nigon | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| M. Bocar Ba | 5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter