Model Predictions
| Model | Utah Utes | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.0% | 88.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.8% | 61.2% | +2.5 | ✓ (6.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +9 (72-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Utah Utes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Borha | 33 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 4 | - |
| L. Nevill | 32 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 9-10 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 17 | - |
| T. Kepkay | 31 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| S. Green | 29 | 5-12 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 12 | - |
| C. Brown | 29 | 4-12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | -2 | - |
| L. Drca | 24 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| K. Tillie | 19 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - |
| J. Tavita | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Cyphers | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Grim | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.J. Gay | 33 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 13 | - |
| R. Williams | 32 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| L. Wade | 30 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 6 | - |
| T. Shelton | 28 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| R. Amoroso | 26 | 6-11 | 2-2 | 3-3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 14 | - |
| K. Spain | 23 | 3-13 | 0-5 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | - |
| B. White | 19 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 4-7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| M. Cheriet | 5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| M. Thomas | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter