Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | BYU Cougars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.9% | 64.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 19.9% | 80.1% | +7.6 | ✗ (9.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: BYU Cougars -2 (62-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Wade | 38 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 11-11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 22 | - |
| R. Williams | 27 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| B. White | 26 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| K. Spain | 26 | 5-16 | 1-6 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 3 | - |
| R. Amoroso | 21 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| T. Shelton | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| D.J. Gay | 16 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| M. Thomas | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| M. Cheriet | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
BYU Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Cummard | 40 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| J. Fredette | 38 | 5-14 | 1-4 | 6-7 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 8 | - |
| J. Tavernari | 31 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| J. Emery | 28 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| C. Miles | 25 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 14 | - |
| N. Hartsock | 20 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| C. Abouo | 8 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| J. Anderson | 6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| L. Morgan Jr. | 4 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter