Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | Arizona Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.7% | 77.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 88.6% | 11.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 26.5% | 73.5% | +5.6 | ✓ (7.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arizona Wildcats +13 (69-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.J. Gay | 30 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 0 | - |
| T. Shelton | 30 | 6-9 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 15 | - |
| B. White | 29 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| R. Williams | 28 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | - |
| K. Spain | 26 | 2-15 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -1 | - |
| L. Wade | 22 | 5-11 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 1 | - |
| R. Amoroso | 15 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| M. Thomas | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - |
| M. Cheriet | 7 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
Arizona Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Wise | 40 | 4-11 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 4 | - |
| J. Hill | 40 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 9-12 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 25 | 35 | - |
| C. Budinger | 38 | 6-15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 3 | - |
| J. Horne | 34 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7 | - |
| K. Fogg | 20 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 15 | - |
| Z. Johnson | 16 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| F. Onobun | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| G. Judkins | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| A. Jacobson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter