Model Predictions
| Model | BYU Cougars | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.3% | 45.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 56.2% | 43.8% | -1.4 | ✓ (8.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 54.4% | 45.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.4% | 45.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs -10 (59-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
BYU Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Tavernari | 38 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| J. Emery | 38 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 15 | - |
| J. Fredette | 36 | 10-19 | 2-6 | 6-6 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 28 | 19 | - |
| L. Cummard | 30 | 3-12 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| N. Hartsock | 25 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 12 | - |
| C. Miles | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| C. Abouo | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Anderson | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| L. Morgan Jr. | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Wade | 36 | 9-16 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 7 | - |
| T. Shelton | 32 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | - |
| R. Williams | 32 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | - |
| R. Amoroso | 30 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 5-6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| K. Spain | 27 | 5-11 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - |
| D.J. Gay | 23 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| M. Cheriet | 16 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| M. Thomas | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter