Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | Utah Utes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 78.7% | 21.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.5% | 66.5% | +3.8 | ✓ (1.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 43.7% | 56.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Utah Utes +2 (52-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Wade | 35 | 5-16 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 12 | -1 | - |
| R. Amoroso | 32 | 5-10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 15 | - |
| K. Spain | 29 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 1-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 3 | - |
| R. Williams | 29 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| M. Cheriet | 19 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| T. Shelton | 16 | 2-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -1 | - |
| D.J. Gay | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Thomas | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| B. White | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
Utah Utes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Nevill | 37 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 24 | - |
| L. Borha | 36 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 5-6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 4 | - |
| C. Brown | 34 | 4-12 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| S. Green | 29 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| L. Drca | 25 | 0-7 | 0-5 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| T. Kepkay | 25 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| K. Tillie | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter