Model Predictions
| Model | UNLV Rebels | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.8% | 93.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.8% | 70.2% | +4.7 | ✓ (6.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 66.7% | 33.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +11 (57-46). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Willis | 39 | 4-10 | 0-4 | 8-9 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 13 | - |
| R. Rougeau | 37 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 19 | - |
| W. Adams | 35 | 1-9 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | - |
| J. Darger | 32 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| O. Bellfield | 20 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| K. Wallace | 17 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| M. Rutledge | 17 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| B. Massamba | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Wade | 36 | 3-12 | 2-5 | 7-8 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 11 | - |
| K. Spain | 35 | 5-13 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 4 | - |
| R. Williams | 33 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 7 | - |
| M. Thomas | 21 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| D.J. Gay | 20 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| R. Amoroso | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| T. Shelton | 18 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 13 | - |
| B. White | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| M. Cheriet | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter