Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | Air Force Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 98.3% | 1.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 81.2% | 18.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 86.3% | 13.7% | -10.1 | ✓ (6.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 77.8% | 22.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 84.8% | 15.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 94.2% | 5.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 94.2% | 5.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Air Force Falcons -17 (44-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.J. Gay | 36 | 5-12 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 8 | - |
| T. Shelton | 35 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 14 | - |
| R. Williams | 33 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| L. Wade | 31 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 7-9 | 11 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 25 | - |
| B. White | 30 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - |
| K. Spain | 12 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | - |
| M. Cheriet | 11 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| R. Amoroso | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| M. Thomas | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Smith | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| B. Horton | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Johnson | 36 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| A. Henke | 35 | 2-10 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| M. Holland | 30 | 7-10 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 10 | - |
| G. Parker | 25 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | -1 | - |
| E. Washington | 22 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| A. Merriex | 21 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | - |
| M. McLain | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| T. Stewart | 14 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| J. Atkins | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
* = starter