Cal Poly
2026 Team Stats (32 games)
82.1
PPG
84.9
Opp
-2.8
Margin
43.1%
FG%
33.2%
3P%
78.6%
FT%
38.3
RPG
13.7
APG
15.3
TO
87.5
Pace
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 934 (#233) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 878 (#277) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 954 (#251) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -3.4 (#214) | - |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -2.5 (#215) | - |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.339 (#252) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | Unavailable | ValueError: efficiency fit failed: ValueError: invalid actual efficiency statistic: fg_attempted |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | Unavailable | ValueError: actual possession inputs unavailable: efficiency fit failed: ValueError: invalid actual efficiency statistic: fg_attempted |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | Unavailable | ValueError: actual possession inputs unavailable: efficiency fit failed: ValueError: invalid actual efficiency statistic: fg_attempted |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.421 (#220) | - |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.468 (#211) | - |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | Unavailable | ValueError: actual possession inputs unavailable: efficiency fit failed: ValueError: invalid actual efficiency statistic: fg_attempted |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | Unavailable | ValueError: actual possession inputs unavailable: efficiency fit failed: ValueError: invalid actual efficiency statistic: fg_attempted |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 949 (#222) | - |
2026 Schedule & Results
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
H. Mousa
|
G | 31 | 31.2 | 20.0 | 6.2 | 1.9 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 2.5 | 13.7 | 13.3 | -32 | -1.5 | -2.5 | 43.9 | 36.9 | 87.1 | -0.39 | 61.0 | 53.3 |
C. Ward
|
- | 32 | 29.2 | 14.6 | 6.3 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 3.0 | 10.3 | 10.4 | -112 | -4.9 | -8.8 | 46.4 | 31.5 | 75.9 | -1.08 | 59.4 | 54.2 |
P. Bandelj
|
- | 31 | 30.6 | 13.0 | 4.1 | 3.3 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 2.5 | 9.5 | 9.9 | -38 | -1.7 | -3.2 | 41.2 | 34.4 | 84.6 | -0.05 | 57.7 | 50.7 |
Jess Esso Essis
|
G | 7 | 17.4 | 8.6 | 3.6 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 1.6 | 6.0 | 6.4 | 10 | 5.0 | 15.5 | 47.6 | 41.4 | 88.9 | 0.14 | 65.3 | 61.9 |
G. Vasilic
|
- | 29 | 23.4 | 7.7 | 2.4 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 6.3 | 4.8 | 43 | 2.1 | 5.0 | 40.2 | 37.7 | 77.8 | 0.91 | 57.2 | 55.2 |
J. Mosley
|
- | 17 | 12.5 | 5.6 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 4.8 | 2.6 | 2 | 0.3 | 1.4 | 39.0 | 29.2 | 70.8 | 0.13 | 51.3 | 47.6 |
Jake Davis
|
- | 31 | 21.6 | 5.5 | 3.2 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 5.5 | 5.0 | 16 | 0.7 | 1.7 | 34.1 | 26.0 | 74.4 | 0.36 | 45.9 | 42.1 |
Austin Goode
|
- | 31 | 16.5 | 5.3 | 2.6 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 4.7 | 3.9 | -35 | -1.6 | -7.3 | 42.8 | 30.9 | 73.7 | -0.62 | 53.1 | 51.4 |
K. Elliott
|
- | 17 | 17.5 | 5.2 | 3.4 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 3.7 | 5.3 | -81 | -4.5 | -12.3 | 49.2 | 38.1 | 82.6 | -0.38 | 60.9 | 55.6 |
Troy Plumtree
|
- | 29 | 11.8 | 4.7 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 3.7 | 3.3 | -8 | -0.4 | -2.0 | 53.7 | 24.1 | 68.4 | 0.0 | 58.4 | 56.9 |
Ali Assran
|
- | 30 | 12.6 | 3.3 | 3.3 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 2.8 | 4.4 | -9 | -0.4 | -1.7 | 41.0 | 19.2 | 60.0 | -0.21 | 48.6 | 44.0 |
L. Tarlac
|
- | 11 | 15.4 | 2.8 | 1.9 | 2.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 1.6 | 2.5 | 3.3 | -52 | -3.7 | -19.1 | 40.7 | 11.1 | 53.3 | -0.56 | 46.1 | 42.6 |
Jason Scott
|
- | 8 | 5.6 | 2.4 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 7 | 0.9 | 18.4 | 35.7 | 57.1 | 62.5 | 0.09 | 54.2 | 50.0 |
A. Price Jr.
|
- | 21 | 6.1 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 88 | 4.9 | 9.4 | 54.5 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0.86 | 59.0 | 59.1 |
E. Brown
|
- | 5 | 3.4 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.0 | -33 | -2.8 | -26.5 | 25.0 | 0 | 50.0 | -0.53 | 30.7 | 25.0 |
Braden Freeman
|
F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG