Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | Long Beach State Beach | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.4% | 44.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.9% | 46.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 47.4% | 52.6% | +0.6 | ✓ (7.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 56.0% | 44.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 56.1% | 43.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Long Beach State Beach +8 (74-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Mousa | 37 | 5-14 | 4-10 | 5-5 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 14 | -13.7 |
| J. Davis | 31 | 5-7 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 12 | -8.9 |
| G. Vasilic | 31 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | -2.1 |
| C. Ward | 30 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 6-8 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 7 | -15.0 |
| P. Bandelj | 30 | 1-10 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | -23.9 |
| L. Tarlac | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -1.5 |
| A. Assran | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | -0.5 |
| T. Plumtree | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -5.0 |
| A. Goode | 2 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1.1 |
| E. Brown | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Mosley | 1 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| A. Price Jr. | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Long Beach State Beach
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Majstorovic | 32 | 12-16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 21 | +19.7 |
| G. Sykes | 32 | 5-13 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 5 | +8.6 |
| R. Diaz III | 29 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | +10.7 |
| C. Farrell | 27 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | +7.2 |
| D. Johnson Jr. | 20 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10 | - |
| S. Bender | 18 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -3 | +7.3 |
| L. Levillain | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | +18.6 |
| I. Lewis | 14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| JJ Chaikovsky | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4.8 |
| D. Xzavierro | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -6.0 |
* = starter