Model Predictions
| Model | Montana State Bobcats | Cal Poly Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 64.9% | 35.1% | -3.4 | ✓ (0.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.4% | 41.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 97.0% | 3.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 69.7% | 30.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 69.8% | 30.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs -3 (80-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Montana State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. McMahon | 34 | 11-14 | 2-4 | 2-6 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 20 | +4.8 |
| J. Miller | 34 | 2-11 | 2-10 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | +4.8 |
| S. Amunrud | 29 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 7-7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 16 | -9.1 |
| J. Davis | 27 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 4 | - |
| C. Hodges | 23 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -1.1 |
| C. King | 22 | 6-13 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 13 | - |
| D. Brown | 19 | 1-10 | 1-8 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | +1.7 |
| J. Steppe | 9 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -8.1 |
| H. Keene | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Bandelj | 33 | 4-13 | 1-6 | 5-5 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 9 | +4.2 |
| C. Ward | 31 | 8-15 | 2-5 | 7-8 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 18 | -1.8 |
| H. Mousa | 26 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 7-9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 7 | -1.9 |
| A. Goode | 23 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | +2.0 |
| A. Assran | 22 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | +1.1 |
| L. Tarlac | 16 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | +1.0 |
| T. Plumtree | 15 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -3.0 |
| G. Vasilic | 12 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -2 | +7.1 |
| J. Davis | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Elliott | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -0.0 |
| A. Price Jr. | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter