Model Predictions
| Model | Long Beach State Beach | Cal Poly Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.3% | 74.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.6% | 70.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.9% | 67.1% | +3.9 | ✓ (6.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 36.5% | 63.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs +10 (102-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Long Beach State Beach
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shaquil Bender | 32 | 7-13 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 12 | -11.8 |
| Petar Majstorovic | 30 | 7-13 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 9 | +8.4 |
| Gavin Sykes | 29 | 9-22 | 5-11 | 5-6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 10 | +1.1 |
| Leopold Levillain | 22 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 10 | +0.9 |
| Cole Farrell | 21 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | -5.5 |
| Demarshay Johnson Jr. | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -5.7 |
| Rob Diaz | 16 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | +2.3 |
| Isaiah Lewis | 15 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -6.3 |
| Dallas Washington | 10 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -9.3 |
| Christian Jones | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1.8 |
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cayden Ward | 30 | 11-18 | 2-8 | 4-4 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 22 | +5.7 |
| Austin Goode | 28 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | +1.9 |
| Hamad Mousa | 28 | 8-14 | 4-7 | 9-10 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 29 | 22 | +5.2 |
| Peter Bandelj | 27 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 13 | +11.1 |
| Guzman Vasilic | 21 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | +11.1 |
| Jess Esso Essis | 20 | 5-11 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 8 | -3.9 |
| Troy Plumtree | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -3.8 |
| Jake Davis | 13 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +6.0 |
| Jackson Mosley | 9 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -9.0 |
| Ali Assran | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -7.1 |
* = starter