Model Predictions
| Model | Long Beach State Beach | Cal Poly Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.8% | 71.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.4% | 67.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.9% | 67.1% | +3.9 | ✓ (6.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 96.9% | 3.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs +10 (102-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Long Beach State Beach
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Bender | 32 | 7-13 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 12 | - |
| P. Majstorovic | 30 | 7-13 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 9 | - |
| G. Sykes | 29 | 9-22 | 5-11 | 5-6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 10 | - |
| L. Levillain | 22 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 10 | - |
| C. Farrell | 21 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| D. Johnson Jr. | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| R. Diaz III | 16 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
| I. Lewis | 15 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| D. Washington | 10 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| C. Jones | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Ward | 30 | 11-18 | 2-8 | 4-4 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 22 | - |
| H. Mousa | 28 | 8-14 | 4-7 | 9-10 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 29 | 22 | - |
| A. Goode | 28 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| P. Bandelj | 27 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 13 | - |
| G. Vasilic | 21 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Jess Esso Essis | 20 | 5-11 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 8 | - |
| T. Plumtree | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| J. Davis | 13 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. Mosley | 9 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Assran | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter