Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | Montana Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.8% | 67.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.8% | 68.2% | +4.2 | ✓ (3.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Montana Grizzlies +8 (90-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Davis * | 34 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | -4.7 |
| P. Bandelj * | 34 | 5-13 | 2-3 | 9-10 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 8 | -5.1 |
| K. Elliott * | 27 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9 | -4.9 |
| C. Ward * | 25 | 7-13 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 5 | -1.8 |
| T. Plumtree * | 21 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | -8.8 |
| A. Assran | 18 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9 | +2.4 |
| G. Vasilic | 16 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -1.3 |
| J. Scott | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +2.0 |
| A. Price Jr. | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| A. Goode | 7 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | +1.8 |
Montana Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Isaak * | 37 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 7-8 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 19 | +6.0 |
| M. Williams * | 29 | 11-18 | 4-8 | 5-6 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 21 | -3.4 |
| T. Sawyer * | 29 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -2.3 |
| K. Aguino * | 23 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | +10.6 |
| T. Thompson * | 22 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | +11.5 |
| B. Hicks | 32 | 5-11 | 1-5 | 3-6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 9 | +3.5 |
| C. Henderson | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | +1.2 |
| C. Anderson Jr. | 9 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +5.2 |
| C. Dick | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -12.9 |
* = starter