Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | Seattle U Redhawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.1% | 66.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.2% | 82.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 14.0% | 86.0% | +10.0 | ✗ (12.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 12.2% | 87.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 12.0% | 88.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.9% | 74.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Seattle U Redhawks -2 (71-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Davis * | 35 | 2-9 | 1-7 | 4-5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | +16.1 |
| H. Mousa * | 32 | 5-11 | 0-3 | 8-10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 13 | +6.3 |
| C. Ward * | 31 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 0 | +4.8 |
| A. Goode * | 21 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -7.2 |
| K. Elliott * | 21 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | +3.2 |
| G. Vasilic | 27 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 13 | +22.5 |
| A. Assran | 16 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 3 | +10.6 |
| T. Plumtree | 13 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | +2.6 |
| A. Price Jr. | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Scott | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.0 |
Seattle U Redhawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Maldonado * | 32 | 7-14 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 10 | -7.0 |
| J. Yeo * | 31 | 3-9 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 2 | -0.6 |
| W. Heimbrodt * | 28 | 8-13 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 13 | +3.9 |
| M. Arington * | 28 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | -8.4 |
| H. Dan * | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -2 | -6.4 |
| M. Amos | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -6.2 |
| J. Murphy | 18 | 4-7 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | -9.9 |
| A. Maurer | 15 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | -0.6 |
| J. Christofilis | 13 | 1-8 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -2 | -21.5 |
| B. Felder | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -2.4 |
* = starter