Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | Cal State Fullerton Titans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.9% | 72.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.4% | 67.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 30.7% | 69.3% | +4.5 | ✗ (7.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 37.0% | 63.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 36.4% | 63.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 36.5% | 63.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Cal State Fullerton Titans -3 (91-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Bandelj | 30 | 11-13 | 9-10 | 6-6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 37 | 31 | - |
| Cayden Ward | 29 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 3-6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Guzman Vasilic | 28 | 5-10 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Hamad Mousa | 27 | 8-13 | 4-8 | 7-9 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 27 | 28 | - |
| Luka Tarlac | 24 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 4 | - |
| Jake Davis | 15 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Austin Goode | 13 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ali Assran | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Kieran Elliott | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Troy Plumtree | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Aaron Price Jr. | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
Cal State Fullerton Titans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Ward | 33 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 3-5 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Christian Williams | 27 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Jefferson De La Cruz Monegro | 27 | 4-12 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Kiwane Garris Jr | 25 | 6-9 | 1-3 | 6-7 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 19 | - |
| Jaden Henderson | 24 | 8-13 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 11 | - |
| Landon Seaman | 22 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 6 | - |
| Kendrick De Luna | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Davis White | 16 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Bryce Cofield | 9 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
* = starter