Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | Cal State Fullerton Titans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.4% | 71.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.9% | 74.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 31.0% | 69.0% | +4.4 | ✗ (7.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 36.4% | 63.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 36.5% | 63.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Cal State Fullerton Titans -3 (91-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Bandelj | 30 | 11-13 | 9-10 | 6-6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 37 | 31 | -13.6 |
| C. Ward | 29 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 3-6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 4 | -10.8 |
| G. Vasilic | 28 | 5-10 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 7 | -8.7 |
| H. Mousa | 27 | 8-13 | 4-8 | 7-9 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 27 | 28 | -4.5 |
| L. Tarlac | 24 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 4 | -6.7 |
| J. Davis | 15 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | +2.7 |
| A. Goode | 13 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.2 |
| A. Assran | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | +0.8 |
| K. Elliott | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -7.2 |
| T. Plumtree | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4.1 |
| A. Price Jr. | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
Cal State Fullerton Titans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Ward | 33 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 3-5 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | +10.5 |
| J. De La Cruz Monegro | 27 | 4-12 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 7 | +10.6 |
| C. Williams | 27 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| K. Garris | 25 | 6-9 | 1-3 | 6-7 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 19 | +15.5 |
| J. Henderson | 24 | 8-13 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 11 | +9.4 |
| L. Seaman | 22 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 6 | +1.4 |
| K. De Luna | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | +2.2 |
| D. White | 16 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2.3 |
| B. Cofield | 9 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | +1.3 |
* = starter