Model Predictions
| Model | UC Irvine Anteaters | Cal Poly Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 73.4% | 26.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 70.9% | 29.1% | -4.9 | ✗ (10.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.1% | 37.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 97.0% | 3.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 78.7% | 21.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 78.7% | 21.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.6% | 39.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs +6 (79-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Irvine Anteaters
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Saran | 34 | 7-16 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 12 | - |
| J. Dixon | 33 | 6-19 | 6-14 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 1 | - |
| K. Evans | 32 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 12 | - |
| T. Isaac | 29 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 14 | - |
| A. Henry | 25 | 3-10 | 1-6 | 3-5 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| J. Jester Jr. | 15 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | - |
| H. Carrington | 13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| A. McBirney-Griffin | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| N. Emeneke | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| B. Egbo | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Mousa | 33 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 1 | - |
| P. Bandelj | 31 | 4-11 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 7 | - |
| G. Vasilic | 31 | 6-9 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 18 | - |
| C. Ward | 27 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 6-11 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 17 | - |
| A. Goode | 23 | 7-17 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 14 | - |
| T. Plumtree | 18 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Jess Esso Essis | 16 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. Mosley | 14 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| J. Davis | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Price Jr. | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter