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2026-03-05

Model Predictions

Model Cal Poly Mustangs UC Irvine Anteaters Spread Result
Elo 30.9% 69.1% -
Bradley-Terry 17.0% 83.0% -
Margin 15.4% 84.6% +9.4 (12.6 off)
Pythagorean 31.9% 68.1% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 15.3% 84.7% -
Log Adjusted 15.3% 84.7% -
Points Off/Def 27.4% 72.6% -

Actual: UC Irvine Anteaters +22 (107-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cal Poly Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
H. Mousa 32 5-14 1-4 4-5 8 1 1 2 0 15 13 -
P. Bandelj 32 2-8 2-6 2-2 7 2 0 0 0 8 9 -
C. Ward 30 6-10 1-4 3-4 6 0 1 0 3 16 10 -
G. Vasilic 25 3-9 3-6 0-0 4 2 0 0 2 9 4 -
A. Goode 24 5-14 1-7 2-3 4 3 0 0 1 13 5 -
J. Mosley 15 1-3 1-2 2-2 2 2 1 0 1 5 6 -
A. Assran 14 3-5 0-1 3-4 2 3 0 0 2 9 7 -
J. Davis 13 1-3 1-1 0-0 4 2 0 0 1 3 5 -
T. Plumtree 13 3-9 0-3 1-1 1 3 0 0 1 7 1 -
A. Price Jr. 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

UC Irvine Anteaters

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Saran 30 2-6 0-2 3-4 5 4 4 0 0 7 14 -
J. Dixon 29 8-16 2-6 4-4 6 5 1 0 2 22 16 -
K. Evans 29 7-11 0-0 3-4 8 0 0 5 0 17 19 -
A. Henry 27 6-14 1-6 3-4 3 2 2 1 1 16 9 -
T. Isaac 25 3-4 2-3 0-0 2 5 1 0 0 8 12 -
H. Carrington 20 6-7 0-0 2-2 5 3 1 0 0 14 16 -
A. McBirney-Griffin 11 3-5 0-0 6-7 5 1 0 0 1 12 12 -
J. Jester Jr. 10 2-4 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 4 3 -
E. Chol 9 1-1 0-0 0-3 1 1 0 0 0 2 3 -
N. Emeneke 7 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 2 2 -
B. Egbo 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Ahir 1 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -

* = starter