Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | UC Irvine Anteaters | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.0% | 83.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.4% | 84.6% | +9.4 | ✓ (12.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.9% | 68.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 15.3% | 84.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.3% | 84.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.4% | 72.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Irvine Anteaters +22 (107-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Mousa | 32 | 5-14 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 13 | - |
| P. Bandelj | 32 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| C. Ward | 30 | 6-10 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 10 | - |
| G. Vasilic | 25 | 3-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | - |
| A. Goode | 24 | 5-14 | 1-7 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 5 | - |
| J. Mosley | 15 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| A. Assran | 14 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| J. Davis | 13 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| T. Plumtree | 13 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | - |
| A. Price Jr. | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
UC Irvine Anteaters
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Saran | 30 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 14 | - |
| J. Dixon | 29 | 8-16 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 16 | - |
| K. Evans | 29 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 17 | 19 | - |
| A. Henry | 27 | 6-14 | 1-6 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 9 | - |
| T. Isaac | 25 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 12 | - |
| H. Carrington | 20 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 16 | - |
| A. McBirney-Griffin | 11 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| J. Jester Jr. | 10 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| E. Chol | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| N. Emeneke | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| B. Egbo | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Ahir | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter