Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.6% | 37.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 66.2% | 33.8% | -3.7 | ✗ (9.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 66.4% | 33.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.3% | 43.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Northern Arizona Lumberjacks +6 (93-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Davis * | 34 | 5-12 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 9 | -2.1 |
| P. Bandelj * | 32 | 8-14 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 12 | +0.4 |
| H. Mousa * | 28 | 6-15 | 3-10 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 9 | -7.4 |
| C. Ward * | 21 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | -9.0 |
| K. Elliott * | 20 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | -14.1 |
| G. Vasilic | 27 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | -3.6 |
| A. Assran | 19 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 11 | +0.0 |
| T. Plumtree | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | +1.6 |
| A. Goode | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -0.6 |
| A. Price Jr. | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Abelman * | 37 | 8-18 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 19 | +9.9 |
| Z. Davidson * | 27 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 0-5 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | +5.3 |
| I. Shaw * | 27 | 6-10 | 2-5 | 8-9 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 18 | +5.7 |
| K. Bradford * | 26 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 16 | +9.1 |
| A. Osojnik * | 24 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 1 | -0.3 |
| C. Komin | 20 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2-5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | +2.3 |
| K. Poom | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +2.8 |
| T. Jackson | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| B. Peterson | 8 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | +8.5 |
| O. Fort | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -10.7 |
* = starter