Model Predictions
| Model | UC Riverside Highlanders | Cal Poly Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.0% | 73.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.8% | 68.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 26.0% | 74.0% | +5.7 | ✗ (9.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 28.1% | 71.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 29.4% | 70.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 29.2% | 70.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs -4 (84-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Riverside Highlanders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marqui Worthy | 38 | 9-16 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 17 | +7.6 |
| Andrew Henderson | 38 | 10-19 | 1-7 | 7-8 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 16 | +1.6 |
| Osiris Grady | 33 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 12 | -4.9 |
| De'Undrae Perteete | 27 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | +4.9 |
| BJ Kolly | 23 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 8 | +6.2 |
| Jailen Daniel-Dalton | 22 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | +6.9 |
| Dylan Godfrey | 15 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -1 | +2.7 |
| Tyler Jones | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1.8 |
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Bandelj | 36 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 5-5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 10 | +5.0 |
| Hamad Mousa | 36 | 8-14 | 4-9 | 11-11 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 31 | 28 | -1.2 |
| Cayden Ward | 34 | 4-13 | 1-6 | 3-5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 5 | -3.0 |
| Troy Plumtree | 25 | 4-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | +5.2 |
| Ali Assran | 17 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | +3.4 |
| Guzman Vasilic | 16 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | -9.3 |
| Austin Goode | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -4.6 |
| Luka Tarlac | 12 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -10.5 |
| Kieran Elliott | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -9.6 |
| Jake Davis | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -4.2 |
* = starter