Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | UC Davis Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.8% | 77.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.6% | 71.4% | +5.0 | ✓ (4.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.2% | 60.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 31.8% | 68.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 31.8% | 68.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.6% | 63.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Davis Aggies +9 (67-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Mousa | 33 | 2-12 | 0-6 | 8-8 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 5 | - |
| J. Davis | 32 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | - |
| P. Bandelj | 30 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 1 | - |
| G. Vasilic | 27 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| C. Ward | 25 | 4-12 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 3 | - |
| Jess Esso Essis | 23 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 13 | - |
| A. Goode | 11 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| J. Mosley | 11 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| A. Assran | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| T. Plumtree | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Daughtery Jr. | 34 | 3-10 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| B. Fagbemi | 33 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 10 | - |
| M. Wilson | 33 | 8-16 | 1-4 | 7-8 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 16 | - |
| C. Sevilla | 30 | 6-16 | 5-13 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | -1 | - |
| N. Cooper | 23 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| J. Stokes | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | - |
| N. Rocak | 15 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| I. Chappell | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| O. Suljanovic | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| C. Franklin Jr. | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter