Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | UC Riverside Highlanders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.6% | 42.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 55.2% | 44.8% | -1.2 | ✓ (5.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.2% | 42.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 65.9% | 34.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 64.6% | 35.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 64.8% | 35.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Riverside Highlanders -7 (87-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Bandelj | 36 | 4-9 | 0-4 | 9-10 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 18 | +7.7 |
| Hamad Mousa | 34 | 10-20 | 0-5 | 6-7 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 18 | +15.0 |
| Guzman Vasilic | 28 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | +5.6 |
| Cayden Ward | 27 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | +6.1 |
| Jess Esso Essis | 21 | 5-9 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 3 | +0.3 |
| Austin Goode | 19 | 6-7 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 11 | -0.8 |
| Jake Davis | 17 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | -1.5 |
| Troy Plumtree | 12 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | -5.6 |
| Jackson Mosley | 3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | -5.7 |
| Aaron Price Jr. | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -2.2 |
| Ali Assran | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.8 |
UC Riverside Highlanders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Henderson | 40 | 17-31 | 4-12 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 39 | 12 | -1.0 |
| Marqui Worthy | 36 | 4-13 | 1-3 | 9-14 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 14 | +2.0 |
| Ben Waller | 31 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | -6.0 |
| Osiris Grady | 30 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | -6.8 |
| Jailen Daniel-Dalton | 21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | +4.0 |
| Tyler Jones | 15 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | -8.0 |
| De'Undrae Perteete | 14 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -9.1 |
| BJ Kolly | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | -1 | +6.4 |
* = starter