Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | Colorado State Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.5% | 72.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.6% | 82.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.8% | 92.2% | +13.6 | ✓ (0.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.9% | 66.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 6.2% | 93.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 6.2% | 93.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 20.5% | 79.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Colorado State Rams +14 (93-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Bandelj * | 29 | 5-10 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 11 | +1.1 |
| C. Ward * | 28 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 5 | -11.0 |
| H. Mousa * | 28 | 5-13 | 4-7 | 4-6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 9 | -2.4 |
| J. Davis * | 27 | 2-7 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 3 | -4.6 |
| K. Elliott * | 20 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -13.2 |
| A. Assran | 17 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -8.7 |
| G. Vasilic | 17 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 10 | +15.4 |
| A. Goode | 11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -11.8 |
| T. Plumtree | 9 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | -3.8 |
| A. Price Jr. | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. Scott | 5 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Pascarelli * | 34 | 8-17 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 8 | +3.5 |
| J. Muniz * | 28 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | -4.4 |
| B. Rechsteiner * | 26 | 5-11 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | +8.6 |
| C. Booth * | 25 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 6-7 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 17 | +3.3 |
| K. Jorgensen * | 11 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | +3.5 |
| J. Butler | 20 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 15 | +8.4 |
| A. Kiudulas | 18 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 6-6 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 16 | +4.8 |
| J. McIver | 18 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | +6.5 |
| N. Djapa | 17 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | +5.6 |
| D. Slater | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Mekonnen | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter