Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 74.3% | 25.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.4% | 32.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 76.6% | 23.4% | -6.5 | ✓ (18.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 67.3% | 32.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 79.9% | 20.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 79.1% | 20.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 79.2% | 20.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 62.3% | 37.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners -25 (79-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Bandelj | 30 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Cayden Ward | 28 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Hamad Mousa | 28 | 3-10 | 3-8 | 6-6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Troy Plumtree | 24 | 13-17 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 22 | - |
| Aaron Price Jr. | 19 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Austin Goode | 17 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Guzman Vasilic | 17 | 3-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Jackson Mosley | 16 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Jake Davis | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Ali Assran | 5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Kieran Elliott | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aj George | 32 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Dailin Smith | 31 | 9-20 | 6-12 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 5 | - |
| Kadar Waller | 30 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Mike Price | 24 | 5-11 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 4 | - |
| Ronald Jessamy | 23 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Pierre Geneste Jr. | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | - |
| Tom Mark | 18 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Bentley Waller | 14 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 4 | - |
| TJ James Jr. | 5 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Dylan Purnell | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter