Model Predictions
| Model | Idaho Vandals | Cal Poly Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.6% | 45.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.2% | 45.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 60.7% | 39.3% | -2.4 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.6% | 42.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 97.0% | 3.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.4% | 34.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 65.5% | 34.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs -3 (80-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Idaho Vandals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Rasmussen | 42 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 3-6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 2 | +9.3 |
| B. Johnson | 40 | 6-15 | 2-8 | 7-8 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 20 | +8.1 |
| K. Mitchell | 39 | 7-17 | 6-12 | 11-14 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 31 | 21 | -4.0 |
| B. Rowbury | 34 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | +3.4 |
| T. Blassingame | 25 | 4-8 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 12 | +5.6 |
| I. Brickner | 15 | 1-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -5 | -10.7 |
| M. Klapper | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | +0.4 |
| S. Joba | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | -5.9 |
| E. Steele | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.9 |
| J. Payne | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | +3.0 |
| A. Sevilla | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.0 |
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Ward | 42 | 7-12 | 2-7 | 6-7 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 16 | +2.1 |
| H. Mousa | 39 | 7-15 | 2-8 | 17-19 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 33 | 25 | -7.3 |
| P. Bandelj | 31 | 2-7 | 0-5 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | +18.4 |
| G. Vasilic | 25 | 0-5 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +3.4 |
| K. Elliott | 25 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | +4.4 |
| J. Davis | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -1.4 |
| A. Goode | 19 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | -14.8 |
| T. Plumtree | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +0.8 |
| A. Assran | 8 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | -10.1 |
| L. Tarlac | 7 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | -6.1 |
* = starter