Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | Utah Utes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.9% | 43.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 11.9% | 88.1% | +11.0 | ✗ (18.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.5% | 47.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Utah Utes -7 (85-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Ward * | 33 | 9-14 | 3-5 | 7-11 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 28 | 17 | +1.0 |
| P. Bandelj * | 33 | 4-13 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 9 | +16.1 |
| H. Mousa * | 26 | 8-13 | 4-4 | 6-9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 17 | +3.5 |
| K. Elliott * | 21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | +1.6 |
| T. Plumtree * | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -7.8 |
| G. Vasilic | 25 | 4-8 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 11 | -2.0 |
| A. Assran | 21 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10 | +16.6 |
| J. Davis | 21 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 3-7 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 11 | +14.7 |
| A. Goode | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -4.8 |
| J. Scott | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.1 |
Utah Utes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Brown * | 35 | 11-18 | 2-5 | 5-6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 29 | 14 | -8.1 |
| D. McHenry * | 31 | 5-14 | 1-5 | 5-5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 7 | -8.1 |
| K. Dawes * | 30 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 15 | -11.3 |
| S. Traore * | 23 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 7 | -1.7 |
| J. Hayes * | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8 | +8.4 |
| O. Abbey | 21 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -9.5 |
| J. Patrick | 18 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | -1.4 |
| J. Okonkwo | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | -15.5 |
| K. Sanders | 14 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | +6.7 |
* = starter