Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | UCLA Bruins | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.6% | 85.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 10.3% | 89.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.5% | 98.5% | +23.2 | ✓ (2.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 27.6% | 72.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.5% | 68.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UCLA Bruins +21 (108-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Ward | 33 | 5-10 | 2-6 | 9-9 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 18 | -16.5 |
| P. Bandelj | 32 | 5-6 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 17 | -14.5 |
| H. Mousa | 31 | 4-11 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 14 | 3 | -15.3 |
| K. Elliott | 21 | 5-5 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | +1.7 |
| A. Assran | 19 | 1-8 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -17.0 |
| L. Tarlac | 18 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +2.0 |
| A. Goode | 17 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -18.0 |
| G. Vasilic | 14 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | -2.8 |
| T. Plumtree | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | -0.6 |
| J. Scott | 3 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| A. Price Jr. | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
UCLA Bruins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Dent | 33 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 6-9 | 2 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 24 | +12.9 |
| E. Dailey Jr. | 33 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 15 | +13.2 |
| T. Bilodeau | 31 | 7-9 | 2-2 | 8-8 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 24 | +12.1 |
| S. Clark | 31 | 10-19 | 6-12 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 30 | 14 | +26.2 |
| J. Brown | 27 | 6-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 8 | +17.8 |
| T. Perry | 19 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 3 | -3.2 |
| B. Williams | 16 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -0.1 |
| E. Freeny | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| X. Booker | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +3.4 |
| S. Jamerson II | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3.9 |
| C. Horry | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Seidler | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter