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2026-02-14

Model Predictions

Model UC Santa Barbara Gauchos Cal Poly Mustangs Spread Result
Elo 46.0% 54.0% -
Bradley-Terry 59.6% 40.4% -
Margin 63.5% 36.5% -3.0 (13.0 off)
Pythagorean 59.5% 40.5% -
Efficiency 97.0% 3.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 70.4% 29.6% -
Log Adjusted 70.5% 29.5% -
Points Off/Def 55.2% 44.8% -

Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs +10 (89-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Shaw 36 4-14 2-6 3-3 2 3 1 0 2 13 3 -
Z. Sensley 35 8-16 4-10 1-1 9 0 0 0 0 21 14 -
C. Smith 34 4-9 3-7 6-8 6 3 1 1 4 17 15 -
A. Mahaney 33 8-13 3-8 2-3 0 2 0 0 0 21 10 -
M. McGhee IV 25 1-3 1-3 2-2 6 1 1 0 1 5 9 -
H. Kitenge 22 1-3 0-0 0-1 3 2 0 0 1 2 3 -
L. Zuffelato 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Simcoe 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. Keat Tong 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Z. Clark 2 0-0 0-0 0-1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Cal Poly Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Bandelj 35 5-11 2-6 6-6 4 2 1 1 1 18 14 -
C. Ward 33 4-10 1-5 5-6 8 2 0 1 1 14 14 -
H. Mousa 32 6-10 1-3 4-5 7 2 0 1 1 17 16 -
G. Vasilic 28 4-5 2-3 1-3 1 2 0 0 1 11 8 -
A. Goode 23 2-4 1-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 5 3 -
J. Mosley 14 2-5 1-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 5 2 -
T. Plumtree 13 1-4 0-1 2-2 3 1 1 0 1 4 4 -
Jess Esso Essis 11 1-2 1-2 3-3 0 1 1 0 0 6 6 -
A. Assran 9 3-3 0-0 0-1 1 0 0 1 1 6 4 -
J. Davis 2 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -

* = starter