Model Predictions
| Model | Cal State Northridge Matadors | Cal Poly Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.0% | 41.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.6% | 38.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 49.3% | 50.7% | +0.2 | ✗ (1.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 97.0% | 3.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 56.6% | 43.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 56.6% | 43.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs -1 (96-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal State Northridge Matadors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. O'Garro | 33 | 4-12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 16 | - |
| L. Hughes Jr. | 32 | 12-20 | 6-10 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 32 | 12 | - |
| M. Fofana | 29 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 12 | - |
| J. Brinson | 28 | 5-8 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 15 | - |
| J. Davis | 28 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 14 | - |
| J. Chisolm | 15 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | - |
| J. Evans Jr. | 14 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
| D. Loury | 11 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| A. Szymczyk | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| G. Lewis | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Bandelj | 34 | 7-14 | 1-7 | 5-6 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 19 | - |
| H. Mousa | 33 | 10-15 | 7-11 | 6-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 33 | 19 | - |
| C. Ward | 32 | 2-8 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 12 | - |
| J. Davis | 25 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| G. Vasilic | 25 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 5 | - |
| A. Goode | 21 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| J. Mosley | 18 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| A. Assran | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| T. Plumtree | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter