Cal Poly
2026 Team Stats (33 games)
82.1
PPG
85.0
Opp
-2.9
Margin
43.3%
FG%
33.1%
3P%
78.7%
FT%
38.2
RPG
13.7
APG
15.2
TO
76.0
Est. poss./game
80.0
Adj PPG
83.6
Adj Opp PPG
#222
Scoring Rank
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 902 (#226) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 925 (#238) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 981 (#207) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -3.6 (#216) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -2.4 (#214) | HCA +2.2 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.366 (#254) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.366 (#254) | NetEff -5.2 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.358 (#223) | AdjNet -5.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.357 (#223) | AdjNet -5.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.417 (#222) | AdjO 80.0 | AdjD 83.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.466 (#214) | AdjO 80.3 | AdjD 81.8 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.409 (#226) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.418 (#224) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 934 (#234) | RD 137 | GP 31 |
2026 Schedule & Results
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Hamad Mousa
|
G | 32 | 31.4 | 20.4 | 6.2 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 2.5 | 13.7 | 13.8 | -3 | 26 | -0.1 | -0.1 | 44.3 | 37.2 | 87.8 | 1.47 | 61.7 | 53.9 |
Cayden Ward
|
- | 33 | 29.4 | 14.5 | 6.3 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 2.9 | 10.4 | 10.2 | -40 | 27 | -1.5 | -2.0 | 45.8 | 31.0 | 75.3 | -2.03 | 58.7 | 53.5 |
Peter Bandelj
|
- | 32 | 30.8 | 13.0 | 4.0 | 3.3 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 2.4 | 9.5 | 9.9 | 4 | 27 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 41.3 | 34.7 | 85.2 | 2.18 | 58.0 | 50.8 |
Jess Esso Essis
|
G | 7 | 17.4 | 8.6 | 3.6 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 1.6 | 6.0 | 6.4 | -37 | 7 | -5.3 | -12.2 | 47.6 | 41.4 | 88.9 | -3.15 | 65.3 | 61.9 |
Guzman Vasilic
|
- | 30 | 23.2 | 7.6 | 2.4 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 6.3 | 4.5 | 72 | 24 | 3.0 | 5.5 | 39.5 | 37.1 | 77.8 | 3.01 | 56.2 | 54.2 |
Jackson Mosley
|
- | 17 | 12.5 | 5.6 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 4.8 | 2.6 | -27 | 16 | -1.7 | -5.3 | 39.0 | 29.2 | 70.8 | -1.88 | 51.3 | 47.6 |
Jake Davis
|
- | 32 | 21.1 | 5.4 | 3.1 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 1.3 | 5.3 | 4.8 | -63 | 26 | -2.4 | -4.9 | 33.9 | 26.0 | 72.5 | -1.72 | 45.6 | 41.8 |
Austin Goode
|
- | 32 | 16.3 | 5.2 | 2.5 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 4.6 | 3.8 | -23 | 26 | -0.9 | -2.3 | 42.9 | 30.9 | 73.7 | -2.63 | 53.1 | 51.4 |
Kieran Elliott
|
- | 18 | 16.9 | 4.9 | 3.2 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 3.5 | 5.0 | -66 | 13 | -5.1 | -11.5 | 49.2 | 35.0 | 82.6 | -2.39 | 60.2 | 54.8 |
Troy Plumtree
|
- | 30 | 12.2 | 4.8 | 2.4 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 3.8 | 3.5 | 0 | 24 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 54.4 | 22.6 | 66.7 | 0.94 | 58.8 | 57.5 |
Ali Assran
|
- | 31 | 12.7 | 3.5 | 3.4 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 2.8 | 4.5 | -21 | 25 | -0.8 | -2.9 | 43.2 | 21.4 | 59.6 | -1.82 | 50.6 | 46.6 |
Luka Tarlac
|
- | 12 | 15.1 | 3.0 | 1.8 | 2.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 3.3 | -75 | 10 | -7.5 | -22.6 | 43.3 | 18.2 | 53.3 | -5.57 | 49.2 | 46.7 |
Jason Scott
|
- | 8 | 5.6 | 2.4 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 14 | 5 | 2.8 | 22.2 | 35.7 | 57.1 | 62.5 | 2.43 | 54.2 | 50.0 |
Aaron Price Jr.
|
- | 21 | 6.1 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 0 | 15 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 54.5 | 50.0 | 50.0 | -1.56 | 59.0 | 59.1 |
Eric Brown
|
- | 5 | 3.4 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | 25.0 | 0 | 50.0 | -0.71 | 30.7 | 25.0 |
Braden Freeman
|
F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
Alumni in the Pros
Former Cal Poly players in NBA 2026-2027, matched by provider player ids (ESPN athlete ids, ESPN bios, linked StatsNBA/EuroLeague ids). Only games after their last Cal Poly game count. These are observed results, not certified complete seasons. League and team are where each player last played a regular-season or playoff game (NBA ahead of G League when he played in both); recent games include the preseason.
Active alumni
| Player | At School | League | Team | GP | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kobe Sanders | 2020-24 | NBA | LA Clippers | 2 | 18.9 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 4.0 |
Alumni around the leagues: recent games
| Date | Player | League | Team | Opponent | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | Box |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-23 | Kobe Sanders | NBA | LA Clippers | @ Los Angeles Lakers | 19 | 5 | 3 | 5 | Box |
| 2026-10-21 | Kobe Sanders | NBA | LA Clippers | vs Sacramento Kings | 19 | 2 | 0 | 3 | Box |
2025-2026 Shot Zones
2063 located field-goal attempts in 33 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Hamad MousaCayden WardPeter BandeljJess Esso Essis
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 293-441 | 66.4 | 586 | Cayden Ward 21% (124 pts) | Hamad Mousa 17% (98 pts) | Hamad Mousa 22% (33 misses) | Peter Bandelj 16% (24 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 233-501 | 46.5 | 466 | Hamad Mousa 25% (118 pts) | Cayden Ward 18% (84 pts) | Hamad Mousa 22% (58 misses) | Cayden Ward 16% (44 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 1-11 | 9.1 | 2 | Peter Bandelj 100% (2 pts) | - | Hamad Mousa 50% (5 misses) | Peter Bandelj 20% (2 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 2-6 | 33.3 | 4 | Hamad Mousa 50% (2 pts) | Jess Esso Essis 50% (2 pts) | Hamad Mousa 50% (2 misses) | Cayden Ward 25% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 5-21 | 23.8 | 10 | Jess Esso Essis 40% (4 pts) | Hamad Mousa 20% (2 pts) | Peter Bandelj 31% (5 misses) | Hamad Mousa 19% (3 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 32-110 | 29.1 | 96 | Cayden Ward 19% (18 pts) | Guzman Vasilic 16% (15 pts) | Cayden Ward 21% (16 misses) | Austin Goode 14% (11 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 37-111 | 33.3 | 111 | Hamad Mousa 24% (27 pts) | Guzman Vasilic 22% (24 pts) | Cayden Ward 19% (14 misses) | Hamad Mousa 19% (14 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 106-336 | 31.5 | 318 | Peter Bandelj 30% (96 pts) | Hamad Mousa 22% (69 pts) | Peter Bandelj 22% (51 misses) | Hamad Mousa 18% (41 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 88-235 | 37.4 | 264 | Hamad Mousa 33% (87 pts) | Cayden Ward 23% (60 pts) | Hamad Mousa 30% (44 misses) | Cayden Ward 18% (26 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 95-291 | 32.6 | 285 | Hamad Mousa 24% (69 pts) | Guzman Vasilic 20% (57 pts) | Hamad Mousa 20% (40 misses) | Cayden Ward 16% (32 misses) |