Indiana Fever
2012 Team Stats (44 games)
Model Outputs
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 1213 (#1) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 1137 (#3) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 1147 (#1) | HCA +80 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | +6.2 (#2) | HCA +3.2 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | +8.0 (#1) | HCA +3.5 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.702 (#2) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.719 (#2) | AdjNet +8.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.720 (#2) | AdjNet +8.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.634 (#2) | AdjO 76.7 | AdjD 70.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.659 (#1) | AdjO 75.9 | AdjD 68.6 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.714 (#1) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.718 (#1) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 1185 (#1) | RD 78 | GP 44 |
2012 Schedule & Results
2012 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
M. Camby
|
- | 45 | 31.3 | 17.5 | 7.7 | 3.2 | 2.1 | 1.0 | 1.9 | 13.8 | 15.7 | - | - | - | - | 41.4 | 35.8 | 87.2 | - | 54.2 | 46.8 |
K. Douglas
|
G | 40 | 29.6 | 15.8 | 3.4 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 1.7 | 13.3 | 7.9 | - | - | - | - | 42.0 | 41.4 | 83.0 | - | 54.4 | 50.7 |
Briann January
|
Forward | 42 | 29.6 | 10.6 | 1.9 | 3.9 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 2.5 | 8.6 | 6.6 | - | - | - | - | 41.4 | 40.0 | 87.9 | - | 54.5 | 48.6 |
E. Thomas
|
- | 42 | 23.7 | 8.3 | 2.8 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 1.5 | 7.4 | 5.2 | - | - | - | - | 37.8 | 31.4 | 80.0 | - | 48.4 | 42.1 |
E. Phillips
|
G | 39 | 23.4 | 7.1 | 2.6 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 6.1 | 5.3 | - | - | - | - | 41.8 | 46.2 | 81.4 | - | 53.9 | 50.8 |
J. Davenport
|
C | 42 | 14.2 | 6.2 | 3.2 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 5.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | - | 47.4 | 33.3 | 74.4 | - | 53.0 | 47.6 |
E. Larkins
|
F | 45 | 18.9 | 5.5 | 5.8 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 4.1 | 8.3 | - | - | - | - | 53.0 | 0 | 82.8 | - | 58.4 | 53.0 |
S. Bobbitt
|
G | 1 | 21.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | - | 40.0 | 50.0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
J. Pohlen-Mavunga
|
G | 41 | 15.9 | 4.3 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 3.5 | 3.3 | - | - | - | - | 44.4 | 44.6 | 73.3 | - | 58.4 | 57.3 |
T. Sutton-Brown
|
C | 41 | 15.2 | 3.9 | 2.6 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 3.2 | 4.7 | - | - | - | - | 44.3 | 0.0 | 67.7 | - | 49.9 | 44.3 |
R. Hodges
|
F | 13 | 10.0 | 3.7 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 4.1 | 1.2 | - | - | - | - | 32.1 | 29.0 | 62.5 | - | 42.5 | 40.6 |
K. Christmas-Kelly
|
F | 19 | 11.0 | 2.9 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 3.1 | 3.3 | - | - | - | - | 30.5 | 28.6 | 61.1 | - | 41.1 | 37.3 |
S. Goodlett
|
C | 28 | 7.6 | 2.9 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 2.8 | 2.1 | - | - | - | - | 44.2 | 0 | 70.0 | - | 47.8 | 44.2 |
L. Atkinson
|
NA | 1 | 9.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
2012 Shot Zones
2930 located field-goal attempts in 45 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
M. CambyK. DouglasBriann JanuaryE. ThomasJ. DavenportJ. Pohlen-Mavunga
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 567-1037 | 54.7 | 1134 | M. Camby 21% (238 pts) | E. Larkins 16% (180 pts) | M. Camby 20% (92 misses) | K. Douglas 14% (64 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 92-336 | 27.4 | 184 | J. Davenport 26% (48 pts) | M. Camby 20% (36 pts) | M. Camby 19% (46 misses) | J. Davenport 14% (33 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 129-319 | 40.4 | 258 | K. Douglas 23% (60 pts) | Briann January 19% (50 pts) | M. Camby 25% (47 misses) | K. Douglas 16% (31 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 50-106 | 47.2 | 100 | M. Camby 24% (24 pts) | Briann January 16% (16 pts) | M. Camby 30% (17 misses) | K. Douglas 16% (9 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 114-314 | 36.3 | 228 | M. Camby 26% (60 pts) | K. Douglas 24% (54 pts) | K. Douglas 21% (42 misses) | M. Camby 21% (42 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 54-124 | 43.5 | 162 | Briann January 19% (30 pts) | E. Thomas 19% (30 pts) | E. Thomas 30% (21 misses) | K. Douglas 17% (12 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 36-90 | 40.0 | 108 | K. Douglas 36% (39 pts) | E. Phillips 19% (21 pts) | J. Pohlen-Mavunga 30% (16 misses) | K. Douglas 24% (13 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 80-255 | 31.4 | 240 | K. Douglas 32% (78 pts) | Briann January 21% (51 pts) | K. Douglas 28% (49 misses) | Briann January 21% (37 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 30-102 | 29.4 | 90 | M. Camby 50% (45 pts) | Briann January 17% (15 pts) | M. Camby 56% (40 misses) | K. Douglas 25% (18 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 87-247 | 35.2 | 261 | K. Douglas 32% (84 pts) | M. Camby 30% (78 pts) | M. Camby 25% (40 misses) | K. Douglas 24% (39 misses) |